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2024 United States presidential election in North Carolina

The 2024 United States presidential election in North Carolina is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. North Carolina voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of North Carolina has 16 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state gained a seat.

Although a Southern Bible Belt state, North Carolina has been competitive since the late 2000s, as the state has been narrowly decided in every presidential election since 2008 by less than a 4% margin each time, when Barack Obama very narrowly carried the state and became the only Democratic presidential candidate to do so since Jimmy Carter of neighboring Georgia in 1976. However, Republicans have won every single federal race in North Carolina since Obama's victory. It flipped back into the GOP column in 2012 (the only one of the last four elections where the winner won over 50% of the state's vote) and has been narrowly won by the Republican candidate in every presidential election since then.

It was the closest Republican state victory in 2012 and 2020, even as polls indicated a narrow win by Democrat Joe Biden in the latter. However, at the gubernatorial level, incumbent Democrat Roy Cooper has won both terms, and an upcoming race for a new governor coinciding with the presidential election is expected to be competitive. Today a purple to slightly red state, North Carolina is expected to be targeted by both parties in 2024, with major news organizations marking the state as narrowly leaning towards the Republican candidate (presumably Donald Trump). Robert F. Kennedy Jr. has gathered enough signatures to appear on the ballot.

Incumbent president Biden is running for reelection to a second term.

Primary elections

Democratic primary

In North Carolina, candidates can make the primary ballot either by being nominated by the state party or by filing a nominating petition with at least 10,000 signatures. The North Carolina Democratic Party submitted only Joe Biden as a candidate, and no candidate submitted 10,000 signatures by the December 22, 2023 deadline.

The cancellation was criticized by the Dean Phillips campaign, who started an online petition to get his candidacy on the ballot and threatened legal challenges. Marianne Williamson and Cenk Uygur also criticized the moves.

In North Carolina, the "No Preference" option will appear on the Democratic, Republican, and Libertarian Presidential Preference Primary ballots. In 2012, when President Barack Obama did not face primary opposition in North Carolina, approximately twenty percent of voters opted for the "No Preference" option.

The North Carolina Democratic presidential primary was held on Super Tuesday, March 5, 2024.

Republican primary

The North Carolina Republican primary was held on Super Tuesday, March 5, 2024.

Libertarian primary

The North Carolina Libertarian primary was held on Super Tuesday, March 5, 2024. Ten candidates were presented on the ballot.

General election

Predictions

Polling

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West

Notes

Partisan clients

References

Text submitted to CC-BY-SA license. Source: 2024 United States presidential election in North Carolina by Wikipedia (Historical)

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